

CARDIOVASCULAR JOURNAL OF AFRICA • Volume 29, No 5, September/October 2018
AFRICA
315
categorised according to their CPR percentile for gestational age
and we assessed the accuracy of a CPR value less than the fifth
percentile in predicting adverse outcome. Of the 54 cases with
CPR values, 33 (61%) had values less than the fifth percentile.
The sensitivity of CPR
<
p5 in predicting an adverse event
was 67% and the specificity was estimated at 43%, which cannot
be regarded as a good predictor for adverse outcome. The
possible explanation for this is that an abnormal CPR probably
reflects an established hypoxaemic state and is probably not a
predictive parameter, as we were trying to establish in this study.
The patients we investigated were stable/mild placental-mediated
conditions, i.e. uncompensated IUGR (non-hypoxaemic,
non-acidotic) and well-controlled pre-eclamptics (stable control
on a single agent).
The clinical phenotypes of IUGR and PE depend on the
degree of placental maladaptation and degree of lack of vascular
remodelling. Both conditions can be grouped as ischaemic
placental disease or placental-mediated disease. In EO-PE there
is down-regulation of the interstitial trophoblastic invasion, while
endovascular trophoblastic invasion is limited to the decidua.
The combined IUGR and PE clinical phenotypes are the
result of a more advanced degree of placental maladaptation,
9
and the high number of adverse outcomes in the PE–IUGR
group is consistent with this pathophysiology. This is therefore
a dynamic process and, depending on the clinical phenotype
and placental lesion, will in worse outcomes, result in hypoxia,
oligohydramnios (due to decreased foetal perfusion), maternal
multi-systemic organ affectation (such as HELLP or eclampsia),
foetal acidosis and death.
From whatever clinical phenotype is realised, the path to
deterioration can be foetal and/or maternal, depending on
levels of placental ischaemia and the associated production of
increased levels of toxic factors such as sFLt-1 and endoglin.
Present standard monitoring models, done in the early third
trimester, may not be predictive of later adverse outcomes. For
example, UA RI becomes abnormal only if more than 30 to
40% of the placenta is non-functional,
28,29
MCA RI becomes
abnormal only at the onset of hypoxia,
29
and DV changes are late
changes in the cascade of cardiovascular deterioration, already
reflecting acidosis and myocardial necrosis.
30
Furthermore, the
vast majority (
>
72%) of ‘unexplained’ stillbirths at term are
so-called appropriate for gestational age, that is between p10 and
p50, so biometry is also not entirely helpful.
31
As early hypoxia and increasing afterload both impact on
cardiac function, the MPI is well placed to become a predictor
of adverse obstetric outcome, as demonstrated in this study. The
use of MPI together with biochemical markers, such as sFlt-1
and PLGF,
32
may further improve its sensitivity. This project
is a continuation of our group’s quest to further define the
clinical use of MPI in high-risk obstetric conditions and find its
appropriate place in antenatal foetal surveillance, in the context
of present standard foetal monitoring models.
The main limitation of the study is the limited numbers
in the groups under investigation, but the results nonetheless
highlight the great potential of cardiac Doppler as an important
adjunct to standard monitoring models in placental-mediated
disease. It makes the case to further corroborate these findings
in larger trials and to fine-tune the place and implementation
of cardiac Doppler in mainstream monitoring of cases with
placental-mediated disease. Another limitation is that it requires
training and experience to obtain a reliable MPI result and
it can be confounded by user bias. However this parameter
shows good reproducibility when the valve-click method of
establishing landmarks is used, as we have demonstrated in our
study, establishing reference intervals of the MPI in normal
pregnancies.
4
Conclusion
A single elevated value of the MPI (
z
-score
>
4.5) in the
third trimester in stable placental-mediated disease is a strong
indicator of adverse obstetric outcome later in pregnancy.
This has the potential to be incorporated, in conjunction
with standard monitoring models, in stable placental-mediated
disease to predict an adverse event later in pregnancy and thus
to reduce perinatal morbidity and mortality.
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