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CARDIOVASCULAR JOURNAL OF AFRICA • Volume 31, No 4, July/August 2020

212

AFRICA

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Doubt cast on targeting ‘bad’ cholesterol to curb heart disease risk

Setting targets for ‘bad’ (low-density lipoprotein: LDL)

cholesterol levels to ward off heart disease and death in

those at risk might seem intuitive, but a systematic review of

decades of research have failed to show any consistent benefit

for this approach, reveals an analysis by researchers at the

University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, Bahiana School of

Medicine, Salvador, Brazil, and the University of Grenoble,

of the available data. If anything, it is failing to identify many

of those at high risk while most likely including those at low

risk who don’t need treatment, say the researchers, who call

into question the validity of this strategy.

Cholesterol-lowering drugs are now prescribed to millions of

people around the world in line with clinical guidelines. Those

with poor cardiovascular health, those with LDL cholesterol

levels of 190 mg/dl (4.92 mmol/l) or higher, adults with diabetes,

and those whose estimated risk is 7.5% or more over the next

10 years, based on various contributory factors, such as age and

family history, are all considered to be at moderate to high risk

of future cardiovascular disease. But although lowering LDL

cholesterol is an established part of preventive treatment, and

backed up by a substantial body of evidence, the approach has

never been properly validated, say the researchers.

They therefore systematically reviewed all published

clinical trials comparing treatment with one of three types of

cholesterol-lowering drugs (statins, ezetimibe, PCSK9) with

usual care or dummy drugs (placebo) for a period of at least

a year in at-risk patients.

Each of the 35 included trials was categorised according to

whether it met the LDL cholesterol reduction target outlined

in the 2018 American Heart Association/American College

of Cardiology guidelines. The researchers then calculated the

number of people who would need to be treated in order to

prevent one ‘event’, such as a heart attack/stroke, or death,

and the reduction in absolute risk in each study that reported

significantly positive results.

Their analysis showed that over three-quarters of all

the trials reported no positive impact on risk of death and

nearly half reported no positive impact on risk of future

cardiovascular disease. And the amount of LDL cholesterol

reduction achieved didn’t correspond to the size of the

resulting benefits, with even very small changes in LDL

cholesterol sometimes associated with larger reductions in

risk of death or cardiovascular events, and vice versa.

Thirteen of the clinical trials met the LDL cholesterol-

reduction target, but only one reported a positive impact on

risk of death; five reported a reduction in the risk of events.

Among the 22 trials that didn’t meet the LDL-lowering target,

four reported a positive impact on risk of death while 14

reported a reduction in the risk of cardiovascular events. This

level of inconsistency was evident for all three types of drugs.

The researchers acknowledge that some of the 35 trials

weren’t designed, or of the size needed, to assess the clinical

outcomes included in this analysis. Nevertheless, they point

out that while setting targets for lowering LDL cholesterol

based on risk ‘should prevent cardiovascular events in

patients at highest risk while avoiding unnecessary treatment

in low-risk individuals. Unfortunately, the risk-guided model

performs poorly in achieving these goals.’

Because LDL cholesterol is considered essential for the

development of cardiovascular disease, ‘it seems intuitive

and logical to target (it),’ say the researchers. But they add:

‘Considering that dozens of (randomised controlled trials)

of LDL cholesterol reduction have failed to demonstrate a

consistent benefit, we should question the validity of this

theory.’

They conclude: ‘In most fields of science the existence

of contradictory evidence usually leads to a paradigm shift

or modification of the theory in question, but in this case

the contradictory evidence has been largely ignored, simply

because it doesn’t fit the prevailing paradigm.’

Source:

Medical Brief 2020