CARDIOVASCULAR JOURNAL OF AFRICA • Volume 27, No 3, May/June 2016
174
AFRICA
to death was found in 35% during the pre-operative phase by
Shannon
et al.
30
For the local study, a POCMA was not done. In practice, it
means an error in selection, an error in procedure or an error
in care. Hence co-morbidities and mortality risk factors are
part of the selection criteria. Determining those factors was
important for the surgeon, as every death or major complication
emphasises the surgeon’s feeling of responsibility or loneliness.
This is an emotional response, but it could progress to spiritual
reflection.
Some of the risk factors of the 1990s are even now important
contributors to the risk for death. In this particular study, female
gender was not a risk for mortality, although female patients
had a higher EuroSCORE than the males (4.7 vs 3.6). In fact,
male gender was almost a mortality hazard (
p
=
0.0801). In the
EuroSCORE II, female gender still contributes to death after
surgery, although this contribution is small.
19
Others claim that it
is not the gender per se, but rather the associated co-morbidities
associated with the female gender.
31
The finding that the referring cardiologist contributes to
the risk and therefore mortality rate was expected (Table 5);
however, it was not significant in the stepwise logistic regression.
Cardiologist B referred more patients with an additional
procedure (40.2% of the total of 122). Cardiologist C had only
one such patient, but then C presented 11.0% of patients with an
IABP, whereas C’s contribution to the total number of cases was
only 3.1%. In the EuroSCORE, IABP is a significant factor for
risk/mortality. It could be argued that Cardiologist B had a lower
threshold to refer patients with a higher risk for surgery in an
attempt to treat the patient. It could also mean that Cardiologist
B has a more aggressive interventional approach towards lower-
risk patients. It is hoped that this also attests to confidence in the
surgical team.
The significant risk factors from the
Tabula viva chirurgi
after
logistic regression differed from the original Working Group
Panel on the Cooperative CABG Database Project.
25
Only
re-operation and urgency remained as risk factors. Three of
the five theatre deaths were re-operations and the patient who
bled to death also had a second operation. The other deaths
among the re-operation group of patients had the same mixture
of reasons for death as the rest (Table 3). In a large series of
1 521 re-operations, the mortality rate was 9.7% (in the
Tabula
viva chirurgi
re-operations had a mortality rate of 9.2%).
32
Pre-operative renal impairment (CKD III in particular) and
an associated procedure were not investigated in the Working
Group during the 1990s.
If all the patients with one or more of these four significant
risk factors were excluded, the mortality rate would drop to
seven of 963 patients (0.73%), with an expected mortality
rate of 2.40% (EuroSCORE). Another way of confirming the
contribution of risk factors is to look at the observed mortality
rate of those patients with an expected mortality rate of 0% (i.e.
EuroSCORE 0). One individual of 237 patients died (0.42%). In
the recent EuroSCORE II, the lowest possible risk of mortality
is in any case 0.5%.
The impact of major morbidity on mortality is illustrated in
Table 8. Not all patients who bleed more than expected require
re-exploration, nevertheless excessive drainage is stressful to
the surgeon. To take patients back to theatre for bleeding/
tamponade puts severe strain on the surgeon. It is not only a
utilisation of resources (human and financial), but the bleeding,
re-opening of the chest and subsequent blood transfusion put
the patient at further risk. It is comforting to realise that a unit
such as Cleveland takes 3.0% of patients back to theatre.
33
A Swedish study reported on 2 000 CABG patients,
34
with a re-exploration rate of 4.9% and, interestingly enough,
10.0% (similar to the
Tabula viva chirurgi
) drained more than
1 000 ml, measured over 12 hours. In the
Tabula viva chirurgi
, the
measurement was done over 48 hours. Although 36 patients were
ventilated for longer than 48 hours, 15 patients were ventilated
for respiratory reasons and 21 because of a suppressed level of
consciousness.
Renal failure in particular needs to be addressed. As an
isolated complication, renal failure was found in 14 patients,
and another 15 had renal failure combined with mechanical
ventilation. Three patients had a third complication. Of these 32
(1.8%) patients, 25 required dialysis (seven patients died before
renal intervention). Prolonged mechanical ventilation with renal
failure (dialysis) is a lethal combination as 11 of 15 such patients
died. Only one of 10 patients who required postoperative dialysis
as an isolated major complication, died. Two-thirds of the
patients with renal failure were pre-operatively CKD III.
Both Cleveland Clinic
34
and the Japan Adult Cardiovascular
Surgery Database (JACVSD)
35
consider renal failure as new
dialysis. The prevalence of renal failure (new dialysis) in the
JACVSD was 3.18%. The STS defines renal failure as a critical
rise in serum creatinine.
21,22
In the
Tabula viva chirurgi
, 144 (8.2%)
patients increased their basal creatinine level by 50% or higher
postoperatively. This remains a sign of renal damage.
It is important to realise that three-quarters of patients
(
Tabula viva chirurgi
) are operated on in hospital directly
after their coronary angiogram and were therefore exposed to
contrast medium. The referring cardiologist is usually concerned
about unstable angina and critical coronary artery anatomy.
These patients are all at risk for renal injury and even more
so after the surgery that might follow.
36
Surgery within five
days of angiography has an odds ratio of 1.82 to lead to renal
impairment.
37
This is regardless of a pre-operative glomerular
filtration rate
<
60 ml/l/1.73 m
2
, and cardiopulmonary bypass
duration, which also affects renal performance.
37
Stroke is a shattering complication. Apart from it being a
blow to the patient and to those caring for him/her, a stroke
in particular contributes to this burden of liability surgeons
might experience, not only from a medico-legal perspective, but
also from a spiritual viewpoint. Stroke occurred in 20 patients
(1.1%), 11 as an isolated complication, but in another nine
as an associated major adverse event (Table 6). Four patients
died, therefore a mortality rate of 20%. This stroke rate is also
in accordance with the STS and JACVSD, 1.4% and 1.5%,
respectively, but both registries were for isolated CABG.
22,35
The
unit at Emory University reports a prevalence of 2.2% with an
almost similar mortality rate of 22.5%.
38
Deep sternal sepsis is another major complication of the
STS. The Centres for Disease Control and Prevention provide
criteria for the diagnosis of deep sternal sepsis.
39
In the local
series, dehiscence of the sternum was documented for deep
sternal sepsis. Ten patients were taken back to theatre for
rewiring during the initial hospital stay and another seven were
discharged, but were re-admitted within six weeks. Two of the
patients were also mechanically ventilated and one of them had