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CARDIOVASCULAR JOURNAL OF AFRICA • Volume 28, No 2, March/April 2017

AFRICA

95

regression models) and gender-specific AUC (from logistic

regression models) between a model with BMI

+

WC, BMI

+

PI or BMI

+

WHtR to a model with BMI alone, as described

by Tuan

et al

.

28

A change in prevalence ratio or AUC of

10%

was used as the criterion for a significant contribution of WC,

PI, or WHtR to the prediction of hypertension using BMI.

This criterion of

10% was adopted as it is commonly used to

determine a notable confounding factor.

26

Data analysis was conducted using Stata and MedCalc

statistical packages. Model 1 was crude while model 2 was

adjusted for factors, such as age, smoking, alcohol consumption

and physical activity.

Results

A total of 912 individuals aged 17 years and older from the three

major cities participated and provided informed consent for the

study; 32.89% of the respondents were from Awka, 33% from

Onitsha and 34.10% from Nnewi. The overall crude prevalence

of hypertension and prehypertension in the study population

was 22.81 and 42.54%, respectively.

Tables 1 and 2 show the general characteristics of our study

population. The mean values of all the anthropometric indices

analysedweresignificantlyhigherinthewomen,withtheexception

of weight, height and WHR, when compared to the men. The

mean values of all anthropometric indices studied also increased

from normotensive participants, through prehypertensive

subjects and peaked in the hypertensive participants in both male

and female categories, with hypertension showing the highest

mean values for all anthropometric indices studied.

Table 3 presents the results of the correlation between the

anthropometric indices with blood pressure. All anthropometric

indices correlated significantly with systolic and diastolic blood

pressure. BMI had the highest correlation coefficient, while CI

had the lowest.

Table 4 lists the results of the predictive potentials of each

individual anthropometric index in discriminating between

hypertension and normotension, and between prehypertension

and normotension. For hypertension, BMI, WHtR and WC had

the strongest/highest predictive potential in both the male and

female categories (WHtR was slightly higher). BMI and WHtR

also performed relatively well in all age categories except for age

category 2 (21–25 years) for BMI, and age categories 1 and 2 (≤

20 years and 21–25 years) for WHtR. PI also showed a strong

predictive power (AUC) in this regard but was lower than that

Table 3. Correlation between blood pressure, age and anthropometric

variables

SBP (

r

)

r

2

p

-value DBP (

r

)

r

2

p

-value

BAI

0.18

0.03

0.0000

0.12

0.01 0.0004

BMI

0.33

0.11

0.0000

0.29

0.08 0.0000

WHtR 0.25

0.06

0.0000

0.21

0.04 0.0000

WHR 0.15

0.02

0.0000

0.19

0.04 0.0000

PI

0.27

0.07

0.0000

0.25

0.06 0.0000

WC

0.27

0.07

0.0000

0.22

0.05 0.0000

HC

0.24

0.06

0.0000

0.16

0.02 0.0000

CI

0.105

0.01

0.0014

0.08

0.01 0.0410

SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; BAI, body adipos-

ity index; BMI, body mass index; WHtR, waist–height ratio; WHR, waist–hip

ratio; PI, ponderal index; WC, waist circumference; HC, hip circumference; CI,

conicity index.

Table 4. Analysis of the predictive power of each index for

hypertension and prehypertension

Anthropometric

measures

Hypertension

AUC

p

-value

Prehyperten-

sion AUC

p

-value

BAI

#

Age category

1

0.535

0.8185

0.542

0.5523

2

0.534

0.5274

0.525

0.4775

3

0.583

0.0229

0.500

0.9964

4

0.626

0.0034*

0.613

0.0642

BAI

#

Gender

Male

0.625

0.0002*

0.581

0.0009*

Female

0.594

0.0019*

0.564

0.0329*

BMI Age category

1

0.727

0.0001*

0.563

0.3575

2

0.542

0.4923

0.571

0.0399*

3

0.686

0.0001*

0.622

0.0008*

4

0.589

0.0434*

0.674

0.0133*

BMI Gender

Male

0.698

0.0001*

0.659

0.0001*

Female

0.622

0.0001*

0.609

0.0002*

WHtR Age category

1

0.511

0.9172

0.559

0.3915

2

0.556

0.2618

0.515

0.6764

3

0.631

0.0002*

0.560

0.1080

4

0.601

0.0209*

0.615

0.1408

WHtR Gender

Male

0.682

0.0001*

0.636

0.0001*

Female

0.624

0.0001*

0.572

0.0163*

WHR

#

Age category

1

0.623

0.3645

0.614

0.0839

2

0.502

0.9693

0.501

0.9817

3

0.643

0.0001*

0.619

0.0012*

4

0.525

0.5685

0.662

0.0876*

WHR

#

Gender

Male

0.645

0.0001*

0.562

0.0531*

Female

0.570

0.0208*

0.554

0.0753*

WC Age category

1

0.508

0.9433

0.591

0.1634

2

0.550

0.3858

0.556

0.1038

3

0.607

0.0031*

0.551

0.1645

4

0.542

0.3421

0.580

0.3115

WC Gender

Male

0.692

0.0001*

0.645

0.0001*

Female

0.616

0.0001*

0.584

0.0046*

PI

#

Age category

1

0.680

0.0008*

0.652

0.0223*

2

0.525

0.6617

0.547

0.1818

3

0.679

0.0001*

0.607

0.0043*

4

0.642

0.0008*

0.670

0.0132*

PI

#

Gender

Male

0.670

0.0001*

0.639

0.0001*

Female

0.619

0.0001*

0.599

0.0008*

HC

#

Age category

1

0.530

0.8371

0.649

0.0193*

2

0.552

0.3242

0.543

0.2095

3

0.565

0.0866

0.507

0.8576

4

0.535

0.4372

0.567

0.3003

HC

#

Gender

Male

0.646

0.0001*

0.602

0.0008*

Female

0.592

0.0036*

0.584

0.005*

CI

#

Age category

1

0.618

0.2350

0.556

0.3980

2

0.503

0.950

0.520

0.5602

3

0.527

0.4571

0.520

0.5915

4

0.539

0.3878

0.541

0.6106

CI

#

Gender

Male

0.592

0.0082*

0.541

0.2032

Female

0.558

0.0528

0.533

0.2773

*Statistically significant at

p

<

0.05;

#

AUC significantly different from that of

BMI. Age category 1

=

≤ 20 years, 2

=

21–25 years, 3

=

26–40 years, 4

= ≥

41

years. BAI, body adiposity index; BMI, body mass index; WHtR, waist–height

ratio; WHR, waist–hip ratio; WC, waist circumference; PI, ponderal index;

HC, hip circumference; CI, conicity index.