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CARDIOVASCULAR JOURNAL OF AFRICA • Volume 28, No 2, March/April 2017

AFRICA

129

patient’s risk of CHD, therefore necessitating an integrated,

multi-faceted therapeutic approach.

In this section, the pathogenetic pathways activated by

moderate exercise are described, but the effects of these pathways

have not been quantified. The next interrogation was therefore

whether biomarkers could quantify the CHD effect of moderate

exercise. This was accomplished by using connection graphs,

which link the relative effect of a health or pathogenic factor to

the individual biomarkers through the pathways that are shown

in Fig. 1.

Biomarkers of coronary heart disease

The integrated model that was developed is a high-level

conceptual model, from which the interconnectedness of CHD is

immediately apparent (Fig. 1). Themodel is however complicated.

Biomarkers can be used as indicators of an underlying disorder

and the measurement of specific biomarkers enables prediction

of the RR for CHD associated with the biomarker.

29-31

The

relevant biomarkers and their association with CHD risk per one

standard deviation increase in said biomarker are given in Table

2. This can allow for the quantification of the effects of moderate

exercise on the pathogenesis of CHD.

To simplify the integrated model, serological biomarkers

(which can easily be measured) are used to link the effect of

exercise to the corresponding RR of CHD. Fig. 2 presents a

comparison of the RR associated with an array of serological

biomarkers per one standard deviation increase in the biomarker.

7

Effects of moderate exercise

Using the integrated model in Fig. 1, it is possible to account

for the impact that moderate exercise would have on the

serological biomarkers of CHD. This enables a simplification of

the integrated model into a connection graph, which shows all

the connections between moderate exercise and the measurable

serological biomarkers.

The connection graph presented in Fig. 3 does not neglect

any of the underlying complexity of CHD. To more clearly

determine the effect of exercise on different biomarkers in Fig.

3, the biomarkers previously shown in Fig. 2 were divided into

eight classes, namely vascular function and neurohormonal

activity, renal function, necrosis, coagulation, oxidative stress,

lipids, and metabolic and inflammatory markers.

The pathogenetic pathways (from Fig. 1) are superimposed

on the connecting lines in Fig. 3. Increasing line thickness

indicates a connection with possible greater pathogenetic effect

(as quantified by biomarker relative-risk prediction of CHD).

For example, the risk of CHD is relatively low when considering

leptin, therefore the connection line between exercise and leptin

is thinner than for others (e.g. Apo B).

It is intriguing to see that moderate exercise has a connection to

all the serological biomarkers. This further highlights the inverse

correlation between CHD risk and moderate exercise. From the

connection graph in Fig. 3, it can be noted that the potential risk

reduction effect of moderate exercise may be greatly influenced

by changes in inflammatory, metabolic and lipid markers, which

provide a considerable increased risk for CHD.

2-4

Fig. 2.

Normalised relative risks (fold-change) of salient current biomarkers or of potential serological biomarkers for CHD. (From:

M Mathews, L Liebenberg, E Mathews. How do high glycemic load diets influence coronary heart disease?

Nutr Metab

2015; 12(1): 6.

7

)

Increased IGF-1 and HDL levels are associated with a moderately decreased CHD risk. (IGF-1 and HDL

levels are significantly inversely correlated to relative risk for CHD.)

N

indicates number of trials; I, 95% confidence inter-

val; ACR, albumin-to-creatinine ratio; Adipo, adiponectin; ApoB, apolipoprotein-B; BDNF, brain-derived neurotrophic factor;

BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; Cort, cortisol; CRP, C-reactive protein; cysteine, homocysteine; fibrin, fibrinogen; GDF-15,

growth-differentiation factor-15; HbA

1c

, glycosylated haemoglobin A

1c

; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; IGF-1, insulin-like growth

factor-1; IL-6, interleukin-6; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; MPO, myeloperoxidase; OPG, osteoprotegerin; TNF-

α

, tumour

necrosis factor-

α

; Trigl, triglycerides; Trop, troponins.